Proceedings of the International scientific and practical conference ―Science, Technology and Culture: From Tradition to Digital Future‖ (December 8-10, 2025) / Publisher website: www.naukainfo.com. – Vienna, Austria, 2025. – 183 p.

65  socio-economic risks, which involve job losses, destruction of goods supply infrastructure, and changes in the demographic structure. Risk assessment for the civilian population in military conflicts involves analyzing both the probability of hazards and the expected magnitude of damage. The blockade of Ukrainian ports and the destruction of transport infrastructure have led to significant delays in the supply of goods, which in turn caused price increases on global markets and deepened the food crisis in countries dependent on Ukrainian exports [1, p. 51]. The main stages and factors of risk assessment include: determining the probability of risk occurrence; assessing the scale of damage inflicted during a military conflict (direct damage includes the estimated number of potential casualties and injuries, as well as the scale of destruction of infrastructure such as residential buildings, hospitals, and schools, while indirect damage includes humanitarian crises and environmental damage); evaluating socio-psychological damage; and calculating the overall risk arising as a result of the military conflict. In the modern world, a wide range of methods and tools for risk assessment is used, including geoinformation modeling, which makes it possible to identify hazardous zones, simulate potential trajectories of shelling, forecast infrastructure damage, and generate risk maps; big data analysis based on information from smartphones, video surveillance systems, open sources, and intelligence platforms, which enables the identification of patterns and the forecasting of potential threats; early warning systems, which include sirens, mobile alert applications, and automated missile trajectory analysis systems; and medical and epidemiological monitoring. The use of diverse assessment methods allows for a more comprehensive understanding of the situation in the studied region, while consideration of both direct and indirect consequences contributes to more effective planning of security measures and humanitarian assistance. It should be noted that the level of risk is influenced by a number of factors, including population density and the degree of urbanization; the location of critical infrastructure; the level of population preparedness; and the intensity of hostilities. A scientific approach to risk management and, to a certain extent, risk reduction